2026-02 Seasonal Climate Forecasts

Maps are organized by variable and lead time.

Niño3.4 Index Forecast and SkillNeutral ENSO

Niño3.4 Forecast

Niño3.4 SST Index Forecast

Niño3.4 Skill

Niño3.4 Forecast Skill (ACC)

Sea Surface Temperature (SST)

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Forecast & ACC Skill

SST Forecast Lead 0

Forecast Lead 0

SST ACC Lead 0

ACC Lead 0

SST Forecast Lead 1

Forecast Lead 1

SST ACC Lead 1

ACC Lead 1

SST Forecast Lead 2

Forecast Lead 2

SST ACC Lead 2

ACC Lead 2

SST Forecast Lead 3

Forecast Lead 3

SST ACC Lead 3

ACC Lead 3

SST Forecast Lead 4

Forecast Lead 4

SST ACC Lead 4

ACC Lead 4

SST Forecast Lead 5

Forecast Lead 5

SST ACC Lead 5

ACC Lead 5

SST Forecast Lead 6

Forecast Lead 6

SST ACC Lead 6

ACC Lead 6

SST Forecast Lead 7

Forecast Lead 7

SST ACC Lead 7

ACC Lead 7

Temperature(T2m) Forecast

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Deterministic(Det) & Probabilistic(Prob)

Det Lead 0

Det Lead 0

Prob Lead 0

Prob Lead 0

Det Lead 1

Det Lead 1

Prob Lead 1

Prob Lead 1

Det Lead 2

Det Lead 2

Prob Lead 2

Prob Lead 2

Det Lead 3

Det Lead 3

Prob Lead 3

Prob Lead 3

Det Lead 4

Det Lead 4

Prob Lead 4

Prob Lead 4

Det Lead 5

Det Lead 5

Prob Lead 5

Prob Lead 5

Det Lead 6

Det Lead 6

Prob Lead 6

Prob Lead 6

Det Lead 7

Det Lead 7

Prob Lead 7

Prob Lead 7

Skill Maps for Temperature(T2m)

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based on cross-validated hindcasts

Lead
ACC
HSS
RPSS
Lead 0
ACC Lead 0
HSS Lead 0
RPSS Lead 0
Lead 1
ACC Lead 1
HSS Lead 1
RPSS Lead 1
Lead 2
ACC Lead 2
HSS Lead 2
RPSS Lead 2
Lead 3
ACC Lead 3
HSS Lead 3
RPSS Lead 3
Lead 4
ACC Lead 4
HSS Lead 4
RPSS Lead 4
Lead 5
ACC Lead 5
HSS Lead 5
RPSS Lead 5
Lead 6
ACC Lead 6
HSS Lead 6
RPSS Lead 6
Lead 7
ACC Lead 7
HSS Lead 7
RPSS Lead 7

Precipitation(Prec) Forecast

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Deterministic(Det) & Probabilistic(Prob)

Det Lead 0

Det Lead 0

Prob Lead 0

Prob Lead 0

Det Lead 1

Det Lead 1

Prob Lead 1

Prob Lead 1

Det Lead 2

Det Lead 2

Prob Lead 2

Prob Lead 2

Det Lead 3

Det Lead 3

Prob Lead 3

Prob Lead 3

Det Lead 4

Det Lead 4

Prob Lead 4

Prob Lead 4

Det Lead 5

Det Lead 5

Prob Lead 5

Prob Lead 5

Det Lead 6

Det Lead 6

Prob Lead 6

Prob Lead 6

Det Lead 7

Det Lead 7

Prob Lead 7

Prob Lead 7

Skill Maps for Precipitation(Prec)

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based on cross-validated hindcasts

Lead
ACC
HSS
RPSS
Lead 0
ACC Lead 0
HSS Lead 0
RPSS Lead 0
Lead 1
ACC Lead 1
HSS Lead 1
RPSS Lead 1
Lead 2
ACC Lead 2
HSS Lead 2
RPSS Lead 2
Lead 3
ACC Lead 3
HSS Lead 3
RPSS Lead 3
Lead 4
ACC Lead 4
HSS Lead 4
RPSS Lead 4
Lead 5
ACC Lead 5
HSS Lead 5
RPSS Lead 5
Lead 6
ACC Lead 6
HSS Lead 6
RPSS Lead 6
Lead 7
ACC Lead 7
HSS Lead 7
RPSS Lead 7